July 14, according to Futurism, in 1999, Microsoft co-founder Bill Gates published a book entitled Business @ the Speed ​​of Thought. In which he made 15 bold predictions, it sounded very "outrageous." However, Markus Kirjonen, a student of the business school, said in his blog that Gates' predictions have proved to be surprisingly accurate. The following are the 15 predictions that Gates made 20 years ago. They are now basically becoming a reality.
1. Price comparison website
Gates predicts: Automatic price comparison services will be developed to allow people to compare prices on multiple websites, thus finding the cheapest products effortlessly.
Status: You can easily search for a product on Google or Amazon and see different prices. NexTag, PriceGrabber, etc. are websites dedicated to comparing prices.
2. Mobile devices
Gates predicts that people will carry small devices with them to help them stay in touch at any time. They can conduct e-commerce activities wherever they are. They will be able to check the news, see the flights they book, get information from the financial market, and do anything else on these devices.
The status quo: smart phones and smart watches have become a reality.
3. Instant payment through the Internet, online financing and better healthcare
Gates predicts that people will pay their bills over the Internet and manage their financial projections to communicate with doctors.
The status quo: Technology hasn't changed the medical landscape as much as Uber has subverted transportation, but sites like ZocDoc are designed to make it easier to find and coordinate doctors. Startups like One Medical and Forward are trying to change the doctor's office, for example by offering monthly membership to online and data-driven medical services. You can also borrow money from sites like Lending Club and pay bills through websites and apps like PayPal and Venmo.
4. Personal Assistant and Internet of Things
Gates predicted: "Personal partner" will appear. They will intelligently connect and synchronize all devices, whether they are at home or in the office, and allow them to exchange data. The device will check your email or notification and provide the information you need. When you go to the store, you can tell it its own recipe. It will generate a list of the materials you need to purchase. It informs you about all the devices, what you are buying, and the time schedule for them to automatically adjust based on your behavior.
The status quo: Google Now, an assistant running on mobile devices, is moving in this direction. At the same time, smart devices such as Nest can collect data from your daily life and automatically adjust the room temperature. There are also a series of voice control devices, such as Amazon's Echo and Google's Google Home, you can order them to read your email and provide you with cooking instructions.
5. Online home monitoring
Gates predicted: Your home will play video without interruption. When someone is away from home and someone visits, it will inform you.
The status quo: In 2014, Google acquired the home surveillance camera manufacturer Dropcam for US$555 million. But this is only the beginning. Ring has created a smart doorbell camera that lets you see who is at your doorstep. Even the camera of Petcube allows you to control the laser so that you can still play with pets when you are no longer.
6. Social media
Gates predicts: The private website that you contact with friends and family will become the norm, let you chat and plan various events.
The status quo: There are 2 billion people already using Facebook to pay attention to what their friends are doing and planning various activities. There are also Snapchat, Instagram, WhatsApp and Facebook Messenger. Other smaller social networks have sprung up.
7. Automatic promotional offers
Gates predicts that the software will know when you book travel and use this information to provide you with advice on local activities. In addition to providing event suggestions, it also provides information on discounts, offers, promotions, and more for everything you want to buy.
Current situation: Travel websites like Expedia, Kayak, etc. can provide suggestions based on past purchase data of users. Google and Facebook can provide promotional advertising based on the user’s location and interests. Airbnb allows people to stay at home instead of hotels and begins to provide professional advice on travel destinations, allowing you to live like a local.
8. Live Sports Discussion Website
Gates predicts: When watching sports on television, these services will allow you to discuss what is happening and participate in a discussion of who you think will win.
The status quo: Many social media sites already have similar features, and Twitter has become an irrefutable leader. They can even broadcast games. You can also comment in real time on a sports website such as ESPN.
9. Smart Advertising
Gates predicts that smart ads will appear on the device. They will understand your buying trends and will display advertisements based on your preference.
The status quo: Just look at the ads you see on Facebook or Google and you will find that most online advertising services have this feature. Advertisers can target users based on their click history, interests, and buying patterns.
10. Live broadcast site links
Gates predicts: TV broadcasts will include links to relevant websites and content to help you understand more comprehensively.
The status quo: Almost all products are now tagged and viewers are encouraged to visit websites such as follow their business on Twitter, scan QR codes, or add to Snapchat. It's rare to see broadcasts without website links.
11. Online seminar
Gates predicted: Residents of cities and countries will be able to conduct Internet discussions on issues that affect them, such as local politics, urban planning or security issues.
The status quo: Most news sites have comment areas where people can have live discussions. Many websites have forums where people can ask questions and answer questions. Twitter and Facebook played an important role in the political revolution in Libya, Egypt, and Tunisia, and also played an important role in the Black Lives Matter movement in the United States.
12. Interest-based online websites
Gates predicts: The online community will not be affected by your location, your interest is the most important.
The status quo: Various news websites and online communities are concerned about a single topic, and many news websites have been expanded to provide more in-depth vertical coverage of a topic. Reddit is a good example of group discussion. It focuses on sex, not who you know or where you are.
13. Project Management Software
Gates predicts: The project manager wants to have the entire team networked, describe the project, and get advice from the people available to suit their needs.
The status quo: In the corporate world, there is now a large amount of workflow software that radically changes the way you recruit, form teams, and distribute work.
14. Online recruitment
Gates predicts: Similarly, people looking for work will be able to find employment opportunities online by publishing their interests, needs, and professional skills.
Status: Professional social networking sites like LinkedIn allow users to upload resumes and find jobs based on their interests and needs. Recruiters can also search based on professional skills.
15. Business Community Software
Gates predicted: "The company will be able to bid, whether they are looking for construction projects, filming or advertising campaigns. For large companies that want to outsource what they usually do not want to face, companies looking for new customers, and no services For companies, they are very effective.
The status quo: Many enterprise software are focused on social aspects, so users can reach out to other companies and start conversations, which may generate larger projects directly in their applications. The so-called “jobless economyâ€, together with a website such as Upwork, can make it easier for large companies to connect with freelance designers, writers, or engineers and outsource their work. (small)
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