Falling price pressure continues, LED epitaxial / grain operation difficulty is rising

NASDAQ index component LED epitaxial / die plant Xuming Optoelectronics (SemiLEDS) announced its earnings report in 1/13, and expects this quarter (12-February) revenue will decline, profit will plummet, resulting in a 34% share price jump AIXTRON shares of LED large-scale Cree and organometallic chemical vapor deposition system (MOCVD/LED crystal growth equipment) fell, Taiwan's LED epitaxy/grain group crystal (2448), Yuyuan (3061), Taigu ( 3339), Ding Yuan (2426) performance in the intraday is also relatively weak. Mainly due to the continued decline in LED die prices, the market expects that the operation of LED epitaxial / die manufacturers is increasing.

Looking forward to 2011, although the penetration rate of LCD TV LCD TV backlights will continue to rise (expected to increase from 20% penetration rate in 2010 to 40%-50% in 2011), plus LCD TV LCD TV market itself As the scale of the product grows, the demand for LEDs for LCD TV backlights will double, and LED lighting applications will also drive the growth of high-power LED die demand. However, as LED prices (from die to package) will continue to fall, LED epitaxial/die manufacturers will continue to grow profitably with increased gross margin pressure, and business scale and revenue performance will have to be greater. Amplitude will increase.

The industry stressed that the continued decline in LED prices is normal. It is just a matter of falling and falling, as well as the technical capabilities, product competitiveness, and inventory management capabilities of individual manufacturers. In terms of high-power LED dies, the current market price of high-power LED dies of 4545 specifications is around NT$6-10, although the price pressure has been on, but because the brightness meets market standards, at least 80lm-100lm The supply is not particularly large, and the overall market conditions are still stable (slow decline). Unless there is a separate inventory by the manufacturer.

Affected by LCD TV LCD TV backlight supply chain inventory adjustment, demand cooling, LED epitaxial / grain large plant Jingdian, Yuyuan, Taigu, etc., the fourth quarter of 2010 revenue decline. In December, the year-end inventory was still depressed due to customers. However, as a whole, due to the relatively stable demand for high-power LED chips used in the lighting market, in the fourth quarter of 2010, in the fourth quarter of 2010, in the fourth quarter of 2010, the company’s revenue in the fourth quarter was 4.8 billion yuan, a decrease of 15% in the quarter. Come less. As for the December revenue of Taigu, under the support of lighting products, it rebounded slightly by 2% to 195 million yuan, and the overall fourth quarter revenue season was reduced by about 20%.

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